Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 4.890548 5.619553 6.384877 7.245017 8.181578 9.167355 10.280241
2024-12-15 4.077651 5.143173 6.329974 7.736213 9.343397 11.109963 13.185384
2024-12-22 3.304956 4.560309 6.038240 7.874022 10.060808 12.551659 15.572150
2024-12-29 2.862173 4.278196 6.027375 8.286935 11.069280 14.327394 18.373993
2025-01-05 2.480051 4.002439 5.969494 8.601834 11.938451 15.938703 21.007099
2025-01-12 2.111566 3.682732 5.805015 8.742336 12.566822 17.250831 23.291720
2025-01-19 1.744222 3.304977 5.513030 8.674293 12.899891 18.181956 25.108799
2025-01-26 1.511528 3.087197 5.409280 8.831306 13.506593 19.449100 27.347389
2025-02-02 1.312087 2.888513 5.306194 8.967972 14.073173 20.661471 29.524455
2025-02-09 1.070126 2.579324 5.005130 8.795700 14.201113 21.293977 30.961203
2025-02-16 0.868296 2.302689 4.721731 8.620229 14.302051 21.876377 32.326932
2025-02-23 0.733561 2.124546 4.573513 8.627275 14.645619 22.775134 34.105594
2025-03-02 0.598486 1.922467 4.370643 8.544596 14.866436 23.526774 35.726233
2025-03-09 0.545991 1.884555 4.442999 8.890320 15.713467 25.144508 38.519090
2025-03-16 0.459919 1.752920 4.336522 8.942821 16.127823 26.172599 40.538679
2025-03-23 0.427288 1.741311 4.444721 9.343609 17.065331 27.937500 43.568897
2025-03-30 0.388277 1.705277 4.502642 9.660785 17.881591 29.543170 46.401777
2025-04-06 0.335606 1.620170 4.457814 9.800837 18.428701 30.775485 48.739354
2025-04-13 0.270664 1.480707 4.290929 9.721390 18.631820 31.518557 50.412400
2025-04-20 0.234742 1.417136 4.269565 9.888278 19.215463 32.808049 52.846356
2025-04-27 0.202002 1.352952 4.239322 10.034542 19.765365 34.051829 55.225295
2025-05-04 0.153698 1.213073 4.030316 9.847726 19.778576 34.514365 56.519305
2025-05-11 0.114392 1.084287 3.828033 9.657724 19.774943 34.945223 57.766871